West Ham face Leeds United at London Stadium knowing survival depends on events in two cities, yet Nuno Espirito Santo insists the squad must block out outside noise and treat Sunday’s decisive Premier League fixture as a final, with victory essential and anything less confirming a third relegation from the competition for the Hammers.
West Ham start the final day in 18th place after three straight defeats, two points behind Tottenham, who host Everton, and only a West Ham win combined with a Spurs loss will keep Nuno’s side in the Premier League, while Leeds arrive in 14th and mathematically safe after an eight-match unbeaten run.
Nuno accepts that supporters will follow developments from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but wants the squad insulated from the tension in north London, explaining that “Everybody’s going to be aware of what’s happening in the other situations; we can’t get away from that,” before stressing that players must concentrate on their roles during the match.
The head coach clarified that the squad’s mindset remains fixed on the 23 May fixture, adding “What I hope is that our players ignore whats happening elsewhere and focus on their tasks on the pitch. This is more important than anything,” while also describing the clash as one of the defining moments of a long managerial career.
Reflecting the pressure, Nuno compared the meeting with Leeds to a showpiece tie, stating that “Every game in the Premier League is like a cup final, but yes, for sure [this is one of the biggest games of my career]. Everything is going to be decided. Right now, there’s nothing in our minds other than Sunday. Afterwards, it will be the time to start thinking about that.”
Leeds approach the contest with a contrasting outlook after securing safety several weeks earlier, yet Daniel Farke sees clear motivation, with the visitors able to rise further from 14th if they extend an eight-game unbeaten streak, which includes four wins and four draws, into the closing afternoon at London Stadium.
Farke pointed to the journey across the campaign, saying “After a fantastic season for us and so many setbacks, we want, of course, the best possible finish of the season,” and underlined that performance and result both matter when measuring progress for this Leeds United squad.
West Ham vs Leeds Premier League ambitions and unbeaten run
The Leeds head coach highlighted the value of every small gain in the table, continuing “The best possible finish is always a good performance, good result. Each and every position on the table counts, each and every point counts. For that, we are also hungry to extend our unbeaten run and also hungry to finish as this group of players also deserve in style, with good performance, and yeah, if possible, also three points. If not, then perhaps one point. But of course, we want to stay unbeaten.”
𝗗𝗙 𝗼𝗻 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵: For the pride and honour of the football club, we want to be there (at the end) with the best possible finish. pic.twitter.com/U2YatPRxUB Leeds United (@LUFC) May 22, 2026
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West Ham vs Leeds Premier League key players to watch
Jarrod Bowen carries a major creative threat for West Ham, having set up eight of the club’s last 12 Premier League goals, and the winger has reached 10 assists this season, a tally bettered in a single league campaign for the Hammers only by Paolo Di Canio, Dimitri Payet and Eyal Berkovic.
Leeds forward Noah Okafor provides another storyline, as the attacker turns 26 on 23 May, with history showing that the only Leeds player to score a Premier League goal on a birthday is Alf Inge Haaland, who achieved that feat against West Ham in November 1997, and no player has ever scored on their birthday in a Premier League final-day fixture.
| Players to watch | Club | Key detail |
|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Bowen | West Ham | 10 league assists, eight of last 12 team goals assisted |
| Noah Okafor | Leeds United | Turns 26 on matchday, chasing rare birthday goal record |
West Ham vs Leeds Premier League history, statistics and prediction
Prediction models lean towards a home win, and historical numbers reflect West Ham’s strong record in final home league fixtures, with the club losing only one of their last 19 such matches, winning 11 and drawing seven, underlining why anything short of victory would feel especially damaging this season.
| Outcome | OPTA win probability |
|---|---|
| West Ham | 52.3% |
| Draw | 22.4% |
| Leeds United | 25.3% |
Leeds’ broader Premier League record on the final day is also positive, with only two losses in 15 seasons, posting six wins and seven draws, and those defeats both arrived in relegation years, against Chelsea in 2003-04 and Spurs in 2022-23, which contrasts with their current secure position.
Recent head-to-head meetings add further layers, as West Ham’s 3-1 victory in May 2023 means the hosts now chase back-to-back home league wins over Leeds for the first time since 1974, while Leeds won October’s reverse fixture 2-1 and can secure a first Premier League double over West Ham since 2002-03, when the Hammers went down despite collecting 42 points across 38 games.
Leeds have historically travelled well to face West Ham, with seven Premier League away wins against the Hammers, more than at any other club, although the Yorkshire side lost their most recent league trip to London Stadium, leaving both teams with statistical encouragement before a final-day contest that carries survival jeopardy for one side and positioning motives for the other.
