The Trump administration is discussing a $500 million rescue deal for Spirit Airlines that could leave the federal government owning up to 90% of the company after it emerges from bankruptcy.
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That could help preserve a low-cost option for travelers. But experts warn it could create a problematic chain reaction, particularly when it comes to other struggling companies looking for financial relief.
âThis equity stake stuff has opened up a Pandoraâs box,â Tad DeHaven, a policy analyst at the libertarian Cato Institute, told NBC News on Wednesday.
DeHaven pointed to a growing list of government-backed equity deals across a range of industries over the past year that signal a broader expansion of federal involvement in private and public companies.
Those deals include equity-sharing agreements with semiconductor companies like Nvidia, Intel and AMD; mining firms such as MP Materials and USA Rare Earth; as well as nuclear energy and industrial companies like Westinghouse Electric Co. and U.S. Steel.
âOnce you open that box,â DeHaven said, referring to those recent equity deals, itâs only a matter of time until âsomebody is going to get in trouble, and theyâre going to see that their [only] option to survive is to get money from the federal government.â
Wall Street is raising similar concerns. JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker warned in a recent client note that âshould the administration afford any sort of cash infusion, we believe JetBlue and Frontier would be inclined to quickly follow Spiritâs lead.â
The possible agreement also faced criticism in Washington. âThis is an absolutely TERRIBLE idea,â Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, posted on X. Cruz chairs the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation. Fellow Republican Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas called it ânot the best use of taxpayer dollars.â
The White House, meanwhile, said it is actively monitoring the situation, along with âthe overall healthâ of the U.S. aviation industry.
Such a move could fundamentally reshape competition across the airline industry, particularly for carriers that have managed to stay afloat without government support.
âWere that to happen, would American be far behind?â Baker wrote, referring to American Airlines. âTruthfully, we can think of no greater defiant gesture towards the likes of Delta and United than the government stepping in with lopsided assistance.â
There have been many changes across the broader aviation industry as companies scramble to boost revenues and achieve sustained profitability. United and American have most recently been reported as potential merger partners, though American waved off that speculation.
In a statement to NBC News, American said: âWhile changes in the broader airline marketplace may be necessary, a combination with United would be negative for competition and for consumers, and therefore inconsistent with our understanding of the administrationâs philosophy toward the industry and principles of antitrust law.â
According to DeHaven, a Spirit rescue could tilt the balance away from normal market dynamics, explaining that âany help for Spirit very likely comes at the cost of somebody else.â
Additionally, government ownership could blur the line between regulator and operator, potentially influencing how airlines compete.
Low-cost carriers like Spirit have long shaped the airline ecosystem by offering discount prices for travelers who canât or donât want to buy pricier seats on larger airlines. But the companyâs recent financial troubles â including two recent bankruptcy filings â have raised questions about how long it can continue to play that role.
Thatâs a big reason Spirit and JetBlue agreed in 2022 to merge. But the Biden administration blocked the deal two years later over concerns it would reduce competition.
âWe wouldnât be in this situation today if that merger had gone through,â said DeHaven.
Now, additional pressures, including higher fuel costs tied to the Iran war, are compounding those financial challenges. DeHaven described it as âa patternâ of policy mistake on top of policy mistake.
âYou take a company thatâs [already] in trouble to begin with, and then you double their fuel costs â well, yeah, youâre going to be in even bigger trouble,â he added.
President Donald Trump acknowledged Spiritâs importance in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday and even hinted at potential government support: âSpiritâs in trouble, and Iâd love somebody to buy Spirit. Itâs 14,000 jobs, and maybe the federal government should help that one out.â
Spirit declined to comment on the speculation and told NBC News it continues to operate as usual. Budget carriers JetBlue and Frontier did not immediately respond to requests for comment, nor did Delta, United and American.
Ultimately, though, not all of these companies may be eager to shake hands with the government.
âThe administrationâs already in the corporate boardroom, even without the equity stakes,â DeHaven said, a nod to Trumpâs active and often very public commentary on companiesâ day-to-day operations. âYou donât want a government bailout.â
