Electricity use in Australia is expected to nearly double by 2050, says Aemo
Adam Morton
Electricity use in Australia is expected to nearly double by 2050, but the rise of battery storage has led the market operator to scale back the amount of new transmission lines it thinks will be needed to get the energy around the country.
The Australian Energy Market Operator (Aemo) has released its integrated system plan – a blueprint for the optimal future grid that is updated every two years.
It again found the least-cost system would run on renewable energy supported by energy storage – batteries and pumped hydro – and new transmission lines. Fast-start gas plants would be turned on when needed as backup.
Since the last blueprint in 2024, solar energy and batteries have become cheaper and wind and transmission have become more expensive.
Aemo said under its main “step change” scenario about 6,000km of new transmission would be needed by 2050. But 1,680km of potential transmission listed in 2024 would no longer be required due to investment in generation and storage, and changes in policy.
The plan would cost about $106bn in annualised capital investment, including $6bn on new transmission lines – down from $16bn two years ago.
Aemo’s chief executive, Daniel Westerman, said:
Over the forecast period, Australia’s ageing coal-fired power stations will close … At the same time, consumers are continuing to invest in rooftop solar and home batteries. [That] benefits all consumers by reducing the need for grid-scale investment.
Key events
Woman in Syrian detention camp returning to Australia
The home affairs minister, Tony Burke, has revealed the woman held in a Syrian detention camp who was issued a temporary exclusion order, barring her from entering Australia, has applied for and been granted a return permit.
Burke said the woman will be under “every possible condition” – including monitoring where she lives, works, if she studies, and will be restricted from using any telecommunications device including a mobile phone or pay phone, unless she gives 24 hours notice and provides a reason for use.
Speaking to ABC’s AM program, Burke said she was the last remaining woman who was in the camp:
The temporary exclusion order applies until a permit is issued. And when a permit is requested, a permit lawfully has to be issued.
I’ve been working through with my department, my agencies, Australian federal police and Asio, and with the lawyers to see every possible condition we can put on that permit … But we received the final advice yesterday that we can no longer have an exclusion condition any longer for her.
There will be a very high level of scrutiny and surveillance … that’s the absolute legal limit we’ve been able to go to and our agencies are ready.
Steggall and Spender launch ‘Community Strong Australia’ party
After months of speculation, Zali Steggall and Allegra Spender have this morning officially announced the new Community Strong Australia party.
Being a party, rather than independents, will mean they get access to extra funding under legislation that was passed by the Labor government last term (which the crossbench were furious about).
They say they’ll support community-backed candidates and representatives “who share a commitment to integrity, climate action, economic prosperity, practical solutions and genuine engagement with the people they represent”.
In a statement, Steggall said:
The community independent movement has shown what’s possible when people unite around shared values and practical solutions. Community Strong Australia is about extending that opportunity to more Australians.
But other teals aren’t yet joining the fray – Nicolette Boele, who was elected last year to the Sydney seat of Bradfield, issued a statement this morning saying: “For now, I am remaining independent”, but called it a “significant day”.
We’ll be hearing more from them this morning.
Josh Butler
Hanson says Farley’s mistaken vote alongside teals ‘a problem’
Pauline Hanson says she hauled new MP David Farley into her office after he voted alongside teals and Greens to wind back fuel tax credits for miners, admitting it was a “problem” and that he had made a mistake.
The One Nation leader tried to explain Farley’s vote as an error because “he’s got no staff in his office” and had suffered from the absence of colleague Barnaby Joyce – who is in London this week, instead of being in parliament.
“I had two discussions with him today … and I was point-blank with him,” Hanson told Sky host Andrew Bolt on Wednesday night.
Look, you say, you shouldn’t be making a mistake. Can I tell you something? It is a bloody robust place in here, and the fact is, he’s got no staff in his office, Barnaby’s not around.
Farley said he mistakenly voted alongside more progressive members on an amendment to wind back fuel tax credits, and that he later unsuccessfully tried to change his vote once he realised his mistake.
Hanson said Farley has “made some previous mistakes and I’m not going to deny that, I will own it”.
But said to David, ‘This is a problem … I’ve worked 30 years to get here to stand up and fight for the Australian people.’ And I said, ‘Your performance in there is going to reflect on me and the One Nation. My members here that we’ve worked so hard to represent the Australian people.’
And he said ‘Pauline I’m orange.’ He said, ‘I agree with all your policies.’ And he said it was a mistake.
Hanson said she would lend Farley staff from her office next week to help out in his office.
Krishani Dhanji
Good morning, Krishani Dhanji with you, thanks to Martin Farrer for getting us started.
The sitting week is ending with a bang, as teal independents Zali Steggall and Allegra Spender announce the formation of a party after months of “will they, won’t they” speculation. More on that shortly.
Australia’s spy boss, Mike Burgess, has claimed an Australian citizen working as a senior intelligence officer for Iran “orchestrated” a firebombing in Bondi, in his annual threat assessment.
And Pauline Hanson has had to explain why her colleague, the new One Nation MP David Farley, voted on with the Greens and teals to wind back fuel tax credits for miners, farmers and others.
It’s going to be another busy day. Let’s get cracking!
Giving voters ‘a fair crack’ will restore trust in politics: Albanese
Tom McIlroy
Anthony Albanese will address the Committee for Economic Development of Australia summit in Canberra today, insisting Labor’s appetite for tough political reforms will help restore trust in government.
Amid a surge in support for Pauline Hanson and One Nation, Albanese will argue tax reform and measures to address housing shortages around the country is difficult but necessary.
Albanese will say:
The easy political option in that situation is to kick the can down the road. To try and explain away, or work around, a system that isn’t working.
And while that might be the easy choice – it’s not the right one. The privilege of serving in government demands more of you than that.
Albanese will argue it is not enough to acknowledge people’s frustration.
You can’t just nod along while young Australians tell you that the deck is stacked against them. You have to do something to give them a fair crack. That is the choice our government has made.
Electricity use in Australia is expected to nearly double by 2050, says Aemo
Adam Morton
Electricity use in Australia is expected to nearly double by 2050, but the rise of battery storage has led the market operator to scale back the amount of new transmission lines it thinks will be needed to get the energy around the country.
The Australian Energy Market Operator (Aemo) has released its integrated system plan – a blueprint for the optimal future grid that is updated every two years.
It again found the least-cost system would run on renewable energy supported by energy storage – batteries and pumped hydro – and new transmission lines. Fast-start gas plants would be turned on when needed as backup.
Since the last blueprint in 2024, solar energy and batteries have become cheaper and wind and transmission have become more expensive.
Aemo said under its main “step change” scenario about 6,000km of new transmission would be needed by 2050. But 1,680km of potential transmission listed in 2024 would no longer be required due to investment in generation and storage, and changes in policy.
The plan would cost about $106bn in annualised capital investment, including $6bn on new transmission lines – down from $16bn two years ago.
Aemo’s chief executive, Daniel Westerman, said:
Over the forecast period, Australia’s ageing coal-fired power stations will close … At the same time, consumers are continuing to invest in rooftop solar and home batteries. [That] benefits all consumers by reducing the need for grid-scale investment.
Welcome
Good morning and welcome to our live politics blog. I’m Martin Farrer with the top overnight stories and then it will be Krishani Dhanji with the main action.
There will be plenty of politics to come but we start with good news: thanks to the recent boom in batteries connected to the national power grid, we’re going to save money on new transmission lines. That’s despite our power use being expected to nearly double in the next decade or so.
Plus: as debate still swirls around Labor’s tax changes, Domain predicts the three cities where house prices will still continue to rise, despite … everything.
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